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KFDM 6 :: News - Top Stories - Hour by hour: What to watch on election night
Monday, November 5 2012, 03:36 PM CST
Hour by hour: What to watch on election night

WASHINGTON (AP) - Stock up on munchies and make sure the batteries in your TV remote are fresh. With this year's presidential election razor-close to the finish, Tuesday could be a long night.


Even if the presidency isn't decided until after midnight EST, there will be plenty of clues early in the evening about how things are going for President Barack Obama and Republican Mitt Romney. Obama has more options for piecing together the 270 electoral votes needed for victory, so any early setbacks for Romney could be important portents of how the night will end.


Here's a timetable for armchair election watchers on how the night will unfold, based on what time the last polls close in each state. All times are EST.


-7 p.m.: Polls close in six states but all eyes will be on Virginia, the first of the battleground states to begin reporting results. If either candidate is comfortably ahead in Virginia (13 electoral votes) that could be a leading indicator of which way the night is going.


Virginia typically has been fairly fast at counting ballots. But there's a new voter ID law in the state that could complicate things this year. Voters who don't bring identification to the polls still can have their ballots counted if they produce ID by Friday. If the race in Virginia is super tight, it could come down to those provisional ballots. On election night, no one will even know how many of them are out there.


Virginia is especially important for Romney. In 2008, Obama became the first Democratic presidential candidate to carry Virginia since 1964. Keep an eye on turnout in northern Virginia's Democratic strongholds for an early idea of which way the state will go.


-7:30 p.m.: Polls close in three states, including all-important Ohio (18 electoral votes) and competitive North Carolina (15).


If Ohio is particularly close, and polls suggest it might be, there's a chance the outcome there won't be known until after Election Day, and the presidency could hinge on it. In the last several elections, between 2 percent and 3 percent of the state's votes came from provisional ballots, which aren't counted until later. In 2004, after a long, tense night counting votes, the presidential race wasn't decided until 11 a.m. the next day, when Democrat John Kerry called President George W. Bush to concede Ohio and the presidency.


Romney desperately needs Ohio; no Republican has won the presidency without it. Without Ohio, Romney would need victories in nearly all the remaining up-for-grabs states and he'd have to pick off key states now leaning Obama's way, such as Wisconsin and Iowa. Obama has more workarounds than Romney if he can't claim Ohio.


In North Carolina, the most conservative of the hotly contested states, Romney appeared to have the late edge in polling. Obama, who narrowly won the state in 2008, has paid less attention to it recently. An Obama victory there could point to broader troubles for Romney.


-8 p.m.: More pieces of the puzzle will start falling into place as polls close in the District of Columbia and 16 states, including battlegrounds Florida (29) and New Hampshire (four).


Democratic-leaning parts of Florida tend to be the last places to report, so be careful about jumping to a conclusion if Romney looks strong early on. Most of the polls in Florida close at 7 p.m. Eastern, so by 8 p.m. Eastern, when the last polls close, results will start to roll out quickly. But fully 4.5 percent of votes in Florida weren't counted on election night in 2008, so if things are tight, no one's going to be hasty about declaring a victor in the state. Especially after the 2000 fiasco in which the winner in Florida, and thus the presidency, wasn't determined for more than a month. If you want to get really granular, Hillsborough County, home to Tampa, is widely considered a bellwether for the state.


Tiny New Hampshire is another competitive state to watch closely.


Also keep watch on Pennsylvania for any signs of a Romney surprise. The state has long been considered safe for Obama, but Republicans started running ads there in the final week of the campaign and Romney campaigned there Sunday.  No Republican presidential candidate has carried the state in nearly a quarter century.


-8:30 p.m.: Polls close in Arkansas (six), where Romney is comfortably ahead in surveys.


-9 p.m.: Polls close in 14 states, including battlegrounds Colorado (nine) and Wisconsin (10). Democrats have carried Wisconsin for six straight presidential elections and Obama had the edge in polling going in, so a flip here would be especially noteworthy.


Colorado, where almost 80 percent of voters cast early ballots, could be a straggler because it's so close. Historically, as much as 10 percent of the state's vote doesn't get counted on election night, and those ballots could be decisive in a close race.


Information from exit polls could help flesh out the Colorado picture: Young professionals and Hispanic voters were central to Obama's victory there in 2008, but the sluggish economy has hurt his standing.


Two more to watch: Minnesota and Michigan. The states long have been considered safe for Obama, but the Republicans made late moves there.


- 10 p.m.: Polls close in four states, including the last of the battlegrounds, Iowa (six) and Nevada (six).


Iowa's been leaning toward Obama, but watch how the vote breaks down geographically. Can Romney's advantage in GOP-heavy western Iowa overcome Obama's edge in eastern swing territory?


If Obama wins Ohio and Wisconsin, Romney would have to have help from the West, in places like Nevada and Colorado. Nevada, where two-thirds of the electorate votes early, has been moving Obama's direction in recent weeks, powered by strength in huge labor and Hispanic voting blocs. A Romney incursion there would really mean something


-11 p.m.: Polls close in five western states, but most are foregone conclusions for Obama. He gets 78 electoral votes from California, Hawaii, Oregon and Washington; Romney gets four from Idaho.


- 1 a.m. Wednesday: The last of the polls close, in Alaska. Romney gets three electoral votes. Will many people still be up?


Political junkies could well be waiting to see how things play out in one or more battleground states.


___
NANCY BENAC
Associated Press


Follow Nancy Benac on Twitter: http://www.twitter.com/nbenac


(Copyright 2012 The Associated Press. All rights reserved. This material may not be published, broadcast, rewritten or redistributed.)



 

Hour by hour: What to watch on election night

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BISD notifies employees of layoffs

Udate on child who's father and stepmother were gunned down outside Tyler County church

Bridge City ISD could possibly hold bond election

Jazz on the Lake kicks off, more to come

BISD's "Top 10 in the Nation" sign removed

Preventing a heatstroke

Attorney for Newton County Sheriff reacts to Eddie Shannon indictment

KFDM travels to Galveston to learn about Ebola vaccine research

Average gasoline price in Beaumont second lowest in state

Investigators: Someone deliberately set a Beaumont home on fire, displacing family of seven

Beaumont man's transformation after losing 440 lbs

New way of buying produce becoming popular in SETX

BISD's new way of doing business with vendors

Want to save money and help the environment? Learn about TxDOT's app

Search for source of parasite outbreak infecting Texans

Investigating changes in BISD vendor system

Another Jasper school vandalized

Drug arrests in Jasper

Southeast Texas man found guilty of carrying 20 pounds of marijuana through Beaumont

Forecast calls for dramatic changes

Murder suspect on Top 10 Fugitive list returned to Lake Charles

Houston man pleads guilty to Beaumont bank robbery

Two educators from same district named Region 5 teachers of the year

A former BISD employee who helped to oversee the district's finances is returning

KFDM reporter questions Calvin Walker after his release from jail; what he had to say

Hotel Beaumont has a new owner

Beaumont City Council delayed a vote that would give a cemetery more land

Polk County marijuana bust setting record in Texas

Missed our 6 p.m. broadcast? See live team coverage of indictment against Calvin Walker

Crimestoppers searching for woman burglar caught on surveillance video

Defense attorney Dick DeGuerin, who represented Calvin Walker in federal case, talks with KFDM News about Jefferson County grand jury indictment of Walker

Click here to read indictment against Calvin Walker

Jefferson County jury set to sentence man to 12 years for assaulting teenaged girl

Man steals deputy's car ends up back in jail within an hour

Warrant roundup targets drivers with unpaid traffic citations

Calvin Walker released from jail after posting bond

BISD statement on Calvin Walker indictment

Calvin Walker in custody at Jefferson County Jail

Special Grand Jury indicts BISD electrical contractor Calvin Walker on six felony charges

PAISD teachers attend workshop to prepare for new school year

BPD: Auto burglary suspects crash into police car; officers suffer injuries

Deputy fires shots to stop released prisoner who stole truck at jail

Man just released from jail accused of stealing deputy's truck from correctional center and leading officers on chase

Man sentenced to 12 years for sexually assaulting child

Polk County marijuana operation could yield 100,000 plants

Two hurt in accident on Old Voth Road

BISD Board Meeting Recap

Where did the $46 million general fund go in BISD?

BISD board seeks ways to cut spending during budget workshop

SPECIAL REPORT PART 2: A journey of hope from Honduras to the U.S.

Hardin County residents to vote on whether liquor can be sold

Assistant Jefferson County district attorney stepping down

Local vigil for immigrant children crossing border

Large marijuana-growing operation seized in Polk County

Girl Scouts deliver food for Meals on Wheels

Watching for possible tropical development in central Atlantic

Deputies say mother left children in car where temperature rose to 130

What happened to the millions of dollars in the BISD General Fund?

Click here for live stream of BISD meeting beginning at 6pm

BISD Board of Managers to consider more terminations, separation agreement with Dr. Chargois

Early voting begins for State Senate election

Lightning strike kills one, injures more than a dozen at Venice Beach in Southern California

Heat Index could reach 106; relief on the way

Smoke detector helps family escape fire

Painting for a cause

Fighting a giant at age 8

Local man shot lands in jail

Port Arthur robbery suspect stabbed

Investigators: Beaumont home set on fire

Blood drive helps boost low blood supply

"Cops Helping Kids" fishing tournament fundraiser

City of Beaumont presents concert and other fun in park

Wife of "Pistol Packing Pastor" speaks out

Pinehurst doctor released from jail

Mother of baby Faith denied motion for change of venue

LifeShare in need of blood donations

Local volunteer recognized for her work helping senior citizens

Jefferson Co. warrant roundup has started

Two-year-old girl drowns after her father dies of a heart attack

Local cities discuss ways to boost Texas' Windstorm Insurance Fund

Traffic stop leads to meth discovery in woman's car

Pistol Packing Pastor speaks out on arrests

SPECIAL REPORT Part 1: An immigrant's treacherous journey from Central America to Beaumont

New BISD board to discuss important issues Monday

Do you have an unpaid ticket? Warrant roundup coming

Three PAISD schools may be getting new look if bond passes

One person detained following Orange County shooting

Wanted fugitive located

Salvation Army Store works to attract more customers

Lamar University admin building and honors college construction underway

Investigators: Electrical problem may have sparked Silsbee fire

DEA and other agencies executing search warrant at doctor's office in Pinehurst

Click here to read PC for arrest of doctor on family violence charge

Video from scene of accident that injured trooper

DPS investigating accident that injured female trooper; released from hospital Thursday morning

DPS to close part of I-10 East Thursday for accident reconstruction

Search warrant yields meth, firearms, arrests

Air Algerie plane disappears over Africa

DPS trooper hit by car, discharged from hospital

BPD: 19-year-old shot following argument, shooter on the run

Two Port Arthur schools to see major changes in the fall

Salvation Army store in Beaumont will close temporarily

BPD: No more crime despite high-profile cases

Nederland Senior Citizens Center closes because of water damage

Four men charged in connection with Buna robbery conspiracy that led to shooting

Lifeshare Blood Centers in need of blood donations

Jefferson Co. DA expects new indictments at BISD

Community including board of managers help raise money for teachers

BISD "recognized" signs removed

Jefferson County Crime Lab needs new equipment to keep up with synthetic drug market

Arrest made in connection with June fire in Port Arthur

Jury convicts Beaumont man; judge sentences him to 50 years for sexually assaulting child

Recognized sign taken down from in front of Carrol A. "Butch" Thomas Educational Support Center

DA expects grand jury to return indictments in BISD investigation

Musical based on film The Producers runs for two more weeks

ATPE applaudes Commissioner's decision to seek extension of NCLB waiver and evaluation pilot

Plane crash kills dozens in Taiwan

Interim BISD superintendent outlines belief system

D.A. explains several commissioners invited Bob Wortham to be at budget hearing; welcomes Wortham's support in budget process

Political fireworks at today's Commissioners Court budget hearing

Ruling could affect future of Affordable Care Act

Vidor cemetery stands by rules

Man arrested in connection with vehicle, church burglaries

Crime Stoppers looking for information about women accused of using stolen credit cards

Brazoria County man sentenced in connection with drug trafficking

Two vehicle accident occurs in Chambers County

Tracking tropical depression moving west

Court deals blow to Obamacare

BISD tears down Recognized sign in front of administration building

New ownership for soccer team at Ford Park

8 foot gator caught between Jasper daycare and elementary school

"It's a great day in Beaumont"

BISD Board of Managers approves proposed termination of Dr. Chargois; delays action on RIF

Beaumont homeowner shoots suspected burglar in driveway

TEA Commissioner Michael Williams answers questions on Live At Five

Seaweed still invading the Gulf

Jefferson County takes another step toward constructing Ford Park water park

Homeowner shoots man trying to break into car; police searching for gunshot victim

DA asking for community show of support at budget hearing

Transient arrested trying to break into vehicles

TEA Commissioner Michael Williams will answer your questions live onset Monday on Live at 5

American from Rio Grande Valley killed in Mideast violence

BISD board of managers to meet Monday

Investigators identify drowning victim

Signs your vehicle could have water damage

Drowning at Keith Lake Bridge

Castle Motel set on fire

Family brings out canoe after flooding

Irving Avenue underwater at MLK overpass

Flooding strands Beaumont drivers

Heavy rain floods parts of Port Arthur

Restaurant Report Card: July 18, 2014

Agenda for BISD board of managers' Monday meeting released

Sentence announced in Arceneaux trial

Beaumont bus service resumes operations

LIVE: Southeast Texas impacted by heavy rain

Raw video of MLK near Lavava cars submerged

Raw video of Beaumont street flooding

More raw video of flooding in parts of Beaumont

Pictures of street flooding

Street flooding reporting across Southeast Texas

Weather prompts closures

Intersection closure taking place starting Monday

Fire destroys house in LaBelle

See why Kountze City Council postpones police department consolidation vote

Family of man who died in Orange County Jail wants justice

Legendary blues artist Johnny Winter has died

Kountze city council to discuss future of police department

Dogs maul a local hog

Man wanted for shooting Jasper County woman in the chest

Man found guilty of aggravated sexual assault of a child

KFDM News learns Hardin County D.A. expects to file another theft charge against Kountze Councilman Ira Braneff

Gift of Life program offering free mammograms

Man who carried high-powered rifle into Parkdale Mall was guest speaker at Press Club luncheon

Entergy donates fans for the needy

Entergy warns customers about scam

KFDM News learns man charged with striking child, breaking arm, leaving bruises

PAPD: Man suspected of wife's murder commits suicide

Jury finds man charged with sexually assaulting 6-year-old guilty

WHAT'S COMING UP AT 6PM

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Business News

Stocks mixed at midday

NEW YORK (AP) -- Stocks are mixed in midday trading on Wall Street as investors wait for the Federal Reserve's two-day policy meeting that starts tomorrow. The Fed is nearing the end of its bond-buying stimulus program, and investors will be looking for clues about when the central bank will start raising interest rates.

Consumer News

   WEST PALM BEACH, FL -- (Marketwired) -- 03/21/14 --
 Companies that pride themselves on being eco-friendly may have conflicted
 ideas between marketing with ad specialties and maintaining their green
 reputation. ...

Entertainment News

JOAN RIVERS-DOCTOR LEAVES CLINIC

NEW YORK (AP) -- The head of the surgery facility where Joan Rivers went into cardiac arrest has moved on.

Get This

MARYLAND AGENCY-BEDBUGS

BALTIMORE (AP) -- Some Maryland state workers get to sleep in today -- because of bedbugs.

Science/Tech News

IN THE NEWS: FINDING ONLINE DO-BADDERS

BALTIMORE (AP) -- It's one of the ironies of the Internet: while most users are aware of widespread government surveillance, there are still times when Internet users are able to harass people or issue threats online -- and go undetected.


 

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